Let’s start with the obvious: the Left accidentally confessed to Trump’s greatness.
When Leftists say “Republicans struggle because Trump isn’t on the ballot (for the Midterms),” they’re admitting the man is political oxygen. Remove him, and even the biggest fires go out. It’s the closest CNN has ever come to saying “Trump’s a stud,” though you won’t find those exact words on air.
Historically more people vote during a presidential election than a midterm. And while this is statistically true for many reasons, the fact is we really don’t know the results of elections to date, due to rampant cheating by the Left.
For example, how well Trump did in 2018? That was the year we expected the Red Wave. However, just as they would eventually orchestrate the coup of 2020, Democrats stole many races in 2018. And for those who don’t believe this, reflect on the 2016 election when against all odds, Trump beat Hillary Clinton.
The system was manufactured to coronate Hillary, not Trump. Yet the billionaire outsider walked through the DNC’s coronation parade like a wrecking ball through papier-mâché. He not only beat the Clinton machine but exposed how shaky their whole “democracy” really was.
The 2016 President Election win was such a surprise to Republicans that for the first year Republicans fueled themselves on the euphoria of the victory while ignoring the fact that Trump only temporarily broke the electioneering machine.
Trump Under-Promised and Over-Delivered
Trump’s performance leading into the midterms had everybody, including many Democrats predicting a blood bath for Democrats. Trump’s first 100 days of his first administration were phenomenal by comparison to all modern-day presidents. Many ardent Trump critics fell on their swords, as he performed well beyond expectation. Yet, here is how CNN reported things:
“Trump concludes his first 100 days in office Saturday with the lowest approval rating of any president at this juncture, according to polls dating back to the Eisenhower administration. A CNN/ORC poll released this week found that 44% of respondents approved of Trump’s handling of the presidency while 54% disapproved. That vulnerability is underscored by the willingness of even Trump’s closest GOP allies – those who desperately want to turn his unlikely administration into a noble cause – to critique his shortcomings.”
Aside from saving Carrier, here are a few other things Trump accomplished at that time.
- Approval of Keystone XL and Dakota Access oil pipelines. This would set the course for America’s complete independence on foreign oil and lower energy and fuel prices to levels unseen during the Obama administration.
- Dow Jones hit 20,000 for the first time.
- Appointed Neil Gorsuch to SCOTUS
- He practically ended ISIS, a group that developed during the era of Obama.
- Cutting government red tape: estimates are that President Trump would ultimately save businesses $2 trillion annually with his policy shift.
For a list of accomplishment to generate prosperity, take a look at this list. It’s impressive to say the least.
But you would be hard pressed to find a fake news media outlet who didn’t share CNN’s erroneous depiction of Trump’s first 100 days during his first term. Trump’s performance in only 100 days clearly showed the difference between a master craftsman at work, and the feckless Barack Obama.
While Democrats pretended to continue to love Obama after he left office, the facts are far different. But Leftists were forced to continue the ruse, thus the continual teardown of Trump.
Road to the Midterms
While Leftists derided all of Trump’s amazing achievements, they secretly knew that Trump’s performance would crush them during the midterms. They tweaked the electioneering formula a bit, and started narratives that the Republicans may not get that red wave. Democrats went from abject fear to confidence in a few short weeks.
The outcome? In the 2018 Midterms, Republicans lost 41 seats. That loss is almost as big a statistical impossibility as Biden getting 81 million votes in the 2020 Presidential Election. The tweaked model proved sound, as now it had been battle-tested. Democrats would “rinse and repeat” again in 2020.
But the 2026 Midterms will be dramatically different. While Trump may not be running this next election, his ideas are running. More importantly, his results are running.
And what Democrats know for a fact is the following:
- Their base is completely demoralized. And this will not get better before the Midterms, and will in fact get far worse. The shutdown, indictments, and that bug-a-boo Trump always doing amazing things. Will it ever end?! Their voters have no reason to support them, which is why they lost 2.1 million votes during Biden’s term.
- Who’s leaving? Blacks, for sure. Blacks are leaving the Left in record numbers; Trump doubled his Black vote share from 8% in 2020 to 15% in 2024, with 21% of Black men choosing him. Politico itself admitted Black conservatives are shaping the GOP’s future.
- Further compounding Democrats’ problems is the self-deportation of illegals. Democrats watch as many “unregistered Democrats” leave the country. Add to these their other election integrity woes to come and the numbers don’t bode well.
- MAGA understands the power of voting in all elections. President Trump has energized his base, and they will respond accordingly.
- Finally, large-scale, election-flipping cheating will be almost impossible. You can expect President Trump to go even further on election integrity in the coming months.
History of Midterms
Center for Politics explains,
“The most fundamental difference between presidential and midterm cycles is that far fewer voters participate when there is no presidential contest. According to available data, the last time midterm turnout exceeded the previous presidential election was in 1838, when 70.8% of the eligible population voted versus the 56.5% who voted in the 1836 presidential election. Ever since, presidential turnout has always exceeded midterm turnout. Since the 26th Amendment to the Constitution expanded the franchise to all eligible citizens 18 years or older, 1994-1996 was the closest midterm turnout has been to presidential turnout — 41.1% of the voting-eligible population (VEP) cast ballots in the 1994 midterm and just 51.7% of the VEP voted in the 1996 presidential contest. Chart 1 and Table 1 lay out the substantial differences in turnout that depend on whether or not the presidency is on the ballot.”
They continue,
“On average, midterm turnout has been about 17 points lower than presidential turnout in the 26th Amendment era. If that holds, we’d expect a midterm turnout in the low 40s next year given 2016’s 59.3% VEP turnout, but of course that may vary.”
I get the numbers and the rationale for fewer voters. But the numbers don’t always tell the story.
As I mentioned earlier, Democrats can expect a much more dramatic drop in their midterm voters, while Republicans can expect a much higher turnout. So while the overall numbers may follow historical patterns, Democrats will feel the majority of the wrath.
The Democrats’ Dilemma
So, what’s left for the Democrats in 2026? A platform of pronouns, open borders, and $7 gasoline. Their “energy transition” is now a punchline, their “equity agenda” alienates working-class voters, and their anti-Trump obsession is the only policy plank they’ve got.
While the GOP will face the usual turnout cliff, the Trump base won’t stay home. MAGA learned the game: you win by showing up. Democrats, on the other hand, are learning that mail-in ballots don’t lick themselves under tighter laws.
The Left prays for Trump fatigue. And although Trump is not a candidate—he’s a catalytic reaction. When history writes about this era, they will likely declare it the American Reawakening. Because even when he’s not on the ballot, Trump still runs the show.
Ironically, we may finally get real election results for the first time in modern history.
