Why Democrats WILL Lose House in 2020

To live as a Democrat one must be demented. This isn’t meant to be funny or cruel, but merely a statement of fact.

Don’t believe me, as many would claim that I’m a partisan. Quite the contrary. I simply believe in facts and evidence. Thus, I fancy myself a pragmatist.

Nevertheless, I ask you to merely look at the body of evidence Democrats openly provide to support my statement about demented Democrats.

For example, Democrats believe that Hillary Clinton is guilty of a crime. They know Hillary Clinton did what only a handful of elitist could do and expect to get away with.

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Who do you know who could delete 33,000 emails after being told not to. Next, who do you know who could destroy servers with bleachbit, and hammer hard-drives and cell phones?

The same Leftists who can think of nobody else who could get away with this believe that while Clinton committed crimes, she should not be charged

In contrast to Clinton, Trump is innocent. His innocence was proven in a two-year investigation by investigators whose job was to find dirt connecting Trump to the Russians.

To that end, Robert Mueller stacked the deck against Trump with pro-Hillary staffers who found nothings. No collusion, no obstruction. Yet, Democrats want to see an innocent man impeached or worse.

To summarize both scenarios, hiding a server in your bathroom closet is not a conspiracy. But firing your crooked FBI director is a conspiracy, at least according to Leftists.

This example belies one of the main reasons Trump will crush the Democrats in 2020. Not only will Trump win the White House again, but he will also get back the House.

A write for The Hill recognizes the problem Democrats created for themselves:

Overlooked in liberals becoming Democrats’ new majority is what happens to conservatives and moderates. Admittedly, conservatives are Democrats’ rapidly decreasing minority; however, in American politics, small matters — a lot. Liberals driving remaining conservatives to become independents or Republicans would have major consequences for Democrats.

A Jan. 8th Gallup poll demonstrated Democrats’ remarkable remake since 1994, when both liberals and conservatives comprised 25 percent of party members. By 2018, liberals had soared to 51 percent, while conservatives had fallen to just 13 percent of Democrats. Understandably, focus has been on liberals’ new first-time majority status. Conservatives have become an afterthought for a party seemingly surging with liberals. This is a huge mistake.

To understand conservatives’ outsized importance, look back to 2016 exit polling. Democrats comprised 36 percent of voters, Republicans 33 percent and independents 31 percent. Now, imagine where Democrats would be without their seemingly insignificant conservatives.

Simply removing Democrats’ conservatives from their 2016 voter total would leave them at just 31.3 percent — well below Republicans 2016 share. However, American politics is not static. Democrats’ lost conservatives must go somewhere. If just half of them became Republicans, who already have a large conservative majority, Republicans’ 2016 voter percentage would climb to 35.3 percent. That would approach Democrats’ 2016 level. However, because Republicans’ gain would have been Democrats’ loss, the differential between the two parties would be four percent — well ahead of Democrats’ three percent 2016 advantage.

The effect of subtracting Democrats’ remaining conservatives and adding them to Republican totals would have even more dramatic effect on political outcomes. President Trump would have won the popular vote in a landslide.

In other words, Democrat defectors now side with Trump. And the latest Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll survey polls suggests the same.

President Trump’s job approval rating is the highest it’s been in two years, boosted by voter optimism about the economy.

The survey found that 48 percent approve of the Trump’s job performance, compared to 52 percent who said they disapprove. That’s up from 45 percent approval in March. The last time the president’s job approval rating reached 48 percent in the Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll survey was in June of 2017.

Frankly I don’t believe the numbers, per se, as there are far too many conflicts in the polling data. For example, President Trump appears to be getting a lift from the economy, with a record 62 percent approving of his approach to employment. Also, 59 percent approving of his handling of the economy. Contrast this with poll data showing that only 39 percent of voters said the country is on the right track.

Fueling my suspicion, the polls data shows that 51 percent said the economy is heading in the right direction. Moreover 71 percent of voters said the economy is very strong or somewhat strong.

What I do trust about the polls are the trends. In almost all categories, Trump trends upward. Those numbers will only get better as the election approaches.

 

 

 

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