Hispanic Immigrants are Flipping on the Democrats

The GOP is embracing the voters Democrats kicked out. As the saying goes, “welcome to the party!”

Hispanic, voters, Candava, Latino, Support, Kevin Jackson
Image credit: New York Times

A Massive Demographic Shift

Mainstream news has been reluctant to report that a seismic polar shift is occurring in American politics.  More minority and working-class voters are starting to identify as Conservative and Republican than they did just a decade ago.

Workers, voters, republicans, democrats, Kevin Jackson
Image credit: NBC News
The Wall Street Journal writes:

One year after giving Democratic House candidates more than 60% of their vote, according to polls at the time, the Journal survey found that Hispanic voters are evenly split in their choice for Congress. Asked which party they would back if the election were today, 37% of Hispanic voters said they would support the Republican congressional candidate and 37% said they would favor the Democrat, with 22% undecided.

Trends now show Democrats are the ones losing the culture war for a change.  The societal push of progressive ‘social justice’, ‘defund the police’, or the ‘transgender/ queer’ agenda has turned off-key Democrat voting blocs, pushing them into the arms of ‘traditional values’, ‘pro-God’, and ‘pro-family’ conservatives.

The New York Times opines:

From Hispanics 71% support for President Barack Obama in 2012 to 66% for Hillary Clinton and 59% for Joe Biden in 2020, Democrats find themselves slowly but measurably losing hold of Latinos, the fastest-growing segment of the electorate. As Latino voters grow in number in key battleground states, they are increasingly rejecting the minority construct promulgated by the media, academia and Democratic politicians and consultants.

Democrats working to save their slim majority in the House in November’s elections have been sounding alarms lately over research showing that Republican attacks on culture-war issues are working, particularly with center-left, Hispanic and independent voters. Hispanic voters, many of us alienated by progressive labels and mottos like “Latinx” and “defund the police,” have been drifting rightward as Donald Trump marginally increased the GOP Hispanic vote share in 2016 and again in 2020 — a phenomenon, it should be noted, that goes beyond Mr. Trump or any individual campaign.

In the eyes of some on the American right, Hispanics are hyper-religious Catholics or evangelicals and entrepreneurial, anti-Communist social conservatives reminiscent of the ethnic white voters of yesteryear. To some on the left, we’re seen as angry, racially oppressed workers of the cultural vanguard who want to upend capitalism while demanding open borders. While none of these caricatures are accurate, in them there are enough grains of truth to lull self-righteous partisans on both sides into believing that they may be on the winning side of the emerging ethnically pluralistic American majority.

Commonly used by media, political and academic elites as a sign of gender inclusivity, “Latinx” is virtually nonexistent in the communities it refers to. In 2020, Pew Research revealed that only 3% of Latinos use the term, while 9% of white liberals think it is the most appropriate term to use. In fact, only 14% of Latinos with a high school degree or less had even heard of it.

This was not a sign of intolerance but rather was emblematic of one class with the luxury of being consumed with such matters trying to impose its values on working-class families trying to keep up with paying the rent.

Democrats now understand that they are losing support among Hispanics on culture as well as pocketbook issues, leaving little in the message arsenal for the party’s candidates to stanch what appears to be a long-term bleed.

Democrats can thank Congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez for throwing fuel on the controversy at the worst time with an ill-timed Instagram post:

I also have a mini-rant about this because there are some politicians, including Democratic politicians, that rail against the term ‘Latinx.’ And they’re like, ‘this is so bad, this is so bad for the party,’ like blah blah blah. And it’s almost like it hasn’t struck some of these folks that another person’s identity is not about your reelection prospects.

Even MSNBC learned that 70% prefer to be called “Hispanic”, and that 40% find the word Latinx as offensive!

 

Expanding the ‘Big Tent’ Party

The Republicans are taking this sudden opportunity that has fallen into their lap, and are going on the offensive…for once.

The Republican Party has launched a nationwide program to help tutor immigrants in preparation for their naturalization test.

The Hill learned:

The effort, called the Republican Civics Initiative (RCI), will offer a 10-hour course, divided into four sessions, “to help future voters” pass the civics portion of the test, according to an RNC press release.

Immigrants who attend the course will learn the answers to basic civics questions that would appear on the naturalization test and have a celebration after completing the course.

The people leading the sessions will be trained by the RNC Strategic Initiatives staff, who are certified instructors with the U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services (USCIS), and given adapted materials from USCIS.

The RNC’s statement says most lawful permanent residents are in areas where the RNC already has staff and community centers to assist them.

Along with USCIS, the RNC plans to work with nonprofits such as Civics Fundamentals.

The initiative from the RNC to help immigrants pass the naturalization test comes as the USCIS also announced a new citizenship ambassador initiative this week.

USCIS will partner with local leaders who will share their own experiences to encourage immigrants to become naturalized citizens.

UK’s DailyMail adds:

The first course started in Doral, Fla., at the RNC Hispanic Community Center. Additional courses will be held in battleground states across the country, including Texas, Georgia, Nevada, California and Pennsylvania.

The new 10-hour Republican Civics Initiative training course, the first of which is being held on Thursday in Doral, Florida, is ‘designed to help future voters prepare for the civics portion of the naturalization test,’ according to the Republican National Committee (RNC).

The class helping prepare test-takers for the civics portion of the naturalization test is spread across four sessions.

A recent Wall Street Journal analysis showed that Hispanic communities began drifting toward the Republican Party in the last presidential election.  If the trend continues, it could mark a dramatic change for America’s two major political parties.  In the upcoming Midterms, there are three places where the Hispanic vote could help decide important races in 2022.

Not Just Hispanics, Democrats Losing Their Base

The 2020 election were shocking in that President Trump performed better amongst minorities than any previous Republican.  Infact it was one key demographic group that carried the Biden/Harris ticket to victory:  White, Moderate, Middle-Class, Suburban voters.  The one group of voters the Democrats were not chasing, but would disparage at every available opportunity.

But that was then, and this is now.

CNN is sounding an alarm Democrats are not heeding:

Recent polling suggests the advantage Democrats have had with Black voters may be slipping, at least a little bit. This follows the 2020 election in which Biden won Black voters by less than 80 points — the weakest margin for a Democratic presidential nominee since 1996 (if your baseline is the network exit polls).

A few weeks ago, Gallup released results comparing Biden’s approval rating since October with the first six months of his administration. Much attention has been paid to his 20-plus-point drops with young adults and Hispanics.

Far less noted was that Biden’s approval rating among Black adults stood at a mere 67%. That was down 20 points, from 87% at the beginning of his presidency, which was fairly in line with the percentage of Black voters who backed him in 2020.

Our most recent CNN/SSRS poll on the subject found Biden’s approval with Black adults was 69%. It stood at 74% with Black voters. A recent Quinnipiac University poll put Biden’s approval rating with Black adults at 64%. A Pew Research Center poll last month had him at 72% among Black voters.

All these polls showed Biden losing a disproportionate amount of support from Black adults (and voters).

To put this in context, Obama’s approval rating with Black adults never dropped below 75% in any individual Gallup poll. Averaged across time, it almost always stayed safely above 80%.

This is totally Bizarro-backwards for any administration!  It is little wonder the President’s handlers bring him out for only 2-5 hours a day.  After that disastrous Arabian tour, they are probably grateful he is Covid positive so that he has to stay out of public purview for the next 7-days.

What is significant above is that not only that Biden has caused the Democrats to hemorrhage support across the all demographics, but especially amongst the youth voteNot since Reagan does the GOP have an opportunity to set the ideological tones for an entire generation!

The Washington Post observed:

As the age groups get younger, the partisan decline in approval steepens. By the time you get to Gen Z (born in 1997 or later), Biden’s approval is down 21 points since his early-presidency honeymoon.

This isn’t how it’s supposed to be. Young people are expected to be the great future hope of the Democratic Party, with their liberal views influencing their vote for decades to come. Yet here we see disillusionment at least, if not distaste. Raising an obvious question: Why?

The drop has been twice as large among Black and Hispanic Americans as among Whites, though Whites still have lower overall approval. That’s because Whites are more likely to be Republicans, among whom approval is low and has dipped only slightly lower.

The largest partisan change is among independents, a trend we noted in October. Biden’s approval among Democrats has dipped, but it has plunged among independents.

Gallup’s data shows that more than half the members of Gen Z are political independents, about twice the percentage as those older than baby boomers. There’s a remarkable correlation between the two: the more likely a generational group is to identify with a political party, the less the decline in approval of Biden.

voter declines, Kevin Jackson
Image credit: The Washington Post

Liberal Achilles Heel

And that is the Left’s weak spot that is wide open to be exploited!

American politics, especially the Democrats, since the 1980s have seen political ideology, party loyalty, and the issues as a threeway symbiosis.  The way of thinking is changing.  The rising Generation-Zoom (aka Gen-Z) are not the much-maligned Millennials.  Zoomer’s are more politically moderate, more socially tolerant.  They also expect everyone to equally adhere to the rules and appreciate fair play.

Zoomers will have grown a thick skin immune to buzzwords or clever marketing tactics, for in their daily lives a Zoomer is bombarded with over 7,000 forms of advertising a day (TV, radio, roadside billboard, online, social media).  They appreciate straight talk, and being told directly the facts of a given situation (no matter how good/bad it might be).

Political issues are viewed more as a smorgasbord through the lens of a Zoomer.  They are not going to be as easily labeled as ‘Liberal’, ‘Conservative’, or ‘Moderate’ as previous generations.  This generation will even fight being placed in one camp or the other, preferring to stand on their own, as themselves.

At the moment the Republicans stand a better chance at winning over this group than the Democrats, who are poised to make the same mistakes that they made with the Yuppies in 1980s.  The modern liberal assembly line controlling the mechanisms within the mainstream media, academia, and the modern bureaucracy are going to run into a wall of problems when it tries proclaiming “do as we say, because we say so!”  And the response is “Why?”  We are already starting to see the beginnings of this.

This is a golden opportunity for Conservatives to lay the groundwork that could guarantee a new golden age for the next two generations.  But as Dana Perino has so eloquently once said:

“Republicans never miss an opportunity to blow an opportunity.”

Kevin Jackson
Image credit: The New Yorker

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