Get ready for the fireworks. Trump jumps Hillary Clinton in the latest polls.
For all you nervous Nellies out there, I predicted this. I said the polls would soon favor Trump, and it’s finally happened. As Politico reports:
Donald Trump has a two-point edge over Hillary Clinton in the latest CNN/ORCnational survey of likely voters out Tuesday, as the Democratic nominee’s post-convention lead has largely evaporated.
Among those likely to vote in two months, Trump took 45 percent to Clinton’s 43 percent, while Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson earned 7 percent and Green Party nominee Jill Stein had 2 percent. But among all registered voters surveyed, Clinton leads by 3 points, 44 percent to 41 percent, while Johnson took 9 percent and Stein 3 percent.
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So that’s Part I of my prediction. Now let’s look at Part II; the part where Liberals begin acting like spray roaches.
As Glenn Thrush of Politico wrote,
Everybody who has ever worked for Hillary Clinton, covered her, supported her with clutched rosary and gnarled innards through the darkest days — or even watched her with educated interest from afar — knew this moment would come.
Hold on a minute Nick! Nobody on the Left predicted this. They were confident. In fact, they were over-confident. We were told that Hillary Clinton moved out of Pennsylvania, because the state was well in hand. Now this?
With two months to go before the presidential election, a major poll released this morning (CNN/ORC) revealed that the “prohibitive favorite” (Clinton) is down by two points nationally to one of the worst presidential candidates since the advent of the indoor flush toilet: Donald J. Trump.
Which just goes to show: No one — not the bullpen of the New York Mets, not the French army, not Wile E. Coyote, not even Al Gore — is better at squandering a commanding lead than the Queen of Coasting, Hillary Rodham Clinton. And nobody is better at handing her adversaries talking points to undermine trust, on emails, on the Clinton Foundation, on her own refusal to do something as simple as talking to the reporters who cover her every day.
As if the Left weren’t aware of Hillary Clinton’s baggage?
The Left conveniently forgets that their “prohibitive favorite” couldn’t beat a 74-year old socialist fair and square. They were forced to buy him out. The irony of buying out a socialist has not been lost on me.
Glenn seems to have an inkling as to why Hillary Clinton has faded:
The underlying reasons behind her pre-fall fade have always been lurking in the shadows, I’ve learned after having hundreds of conversations with her people over the years. Clinton is still queasy about electoral politics as a profession, grinds it out because it’s the only path to power, is allergic to most media and, in general, does the bare minimum required to get by. This is not a formula for a happy warrior candidacy and it is exceptionally dangerous at a time when her enemies (with a big assist from the Democratic nominee) have driven her unpopularity down into Trump-ian depths.
Be not dismayed, Leftist, because as Glenn explains, all is not lost.
This is not to say she’s likely to lose— most polls of polls still have her as a 75 percent favorite — because, fortunately for her, there’s a second core element to Clinton’s political personality: A stubborn resilience and a tendency to shatter the glass ceiling of her own shortcomings when she’s facing a moment of crisis. And make no mistake, she’s approaching one right now.
What has Trump done to stem the tide, and actually begin sailing with the wind? According to Nick, there are five reasons:
1. Trump’s listening. The prospect of becoming an historical punch line clarifies the mind, like the foreshadowed echo of “You’re fired!” headed in the wrong direction. The guy who mocked President Obama and Clinton for reading off a teleprompter is getting better at being scripted – and his willingness, at long last, to follow the most rudimentary rules of political campaigning urged by staff (i.e. shutting up) has made him seem somewhat less terrifying. Woody Allen said that 80 percent of life is showing up, and you still get 400 points by signing your name at the top of the SAT. Likewise, a once ungovernable candidate is making up ground by playing clumsily by the rules in a country that remains cleaved in half along partisan lines.
What Glenn and other Leftists didn’t realize is to battle Hillary Clinton, all one need do is show up. They presented Clinton as a formidable opponent. See “Had to cheat to beat 74-year old socialist”.
They touted her as a fund-raising phenom. She’s anything but. Clinton attracts “big” money. However the small dollars haven’t come. And as politicians know, the small dollars denote enthusiasm.
2. Clinton made her campaign exclusively about Trump. Bad idea. One of the underlying realities of 2016 – a quotidian truth swept away by the tangerine tornado – is that Clinton is running for Barack Obama’s third term, and no Democrat since Harry S. Truman has succeeded when following a multi-term POTUS. The electorate is restless and wants change, and no candidate is less equipped by virtue of history, temperament or the tenor of the times to take advantage of that sentiment than Clinton. In fact, the only reason she commands a natural advantage (apart from her party’s innate grip on the Electoral College) is the fact that she is running against Mr. Unacceptable, and is marginally less detested.
Clinton can’t run on her record. So all she can do is attack her opponent. The problem is Trump is not a professional politician, and has many “out” clauses. Trumps biggest “trump card” comes from being an insider to the political game. He even gamed Clinton at different times.
Trump, they believed would be an afterthought. However, like Sanders, he excelled at the game reserved for elite insiders. Unlike Sanders, Trump isn’t going away. He welcomes the attacks. Because Clinton attacking means that Trump is on the offensive. In politics, defense loses.
3. Donald Trump flip-flopped on immigration (then re-flipped) and his voters don’t seem to care. Trump has chutzpah – no doubt about it – and he attempted his most audacious move yet, one of the greatest switcheroos in the annals of modern campaigning. In the doldrums of late August, in ways opaque and fuzzy-wuzzy, he rolled back his campaign-defining commitment to be the immigration badass who was going to sweep the Southern border clean of all those illegal rapists, criminals, job stealers pouring across from Mexico.
Trump hasn’t flip-flopped. But even if he had, so what! Politicians lie. Businessmen flip-flop. Trump at his core wants to protect Americans from illegal encroachment.
4. Shaky foundation. There haven’t been any real smoking guns regarding influence-peddling, profiteering or even preferential treatment regarding the Clinton’s family foundation and its relationship to decisions made by Clinton as secretary of state. The link between improper access and corrupt action, while implied, has yet to be proven. But there have been plenty of drip-drip revelations, including recent reports that top Clinton aides sought to grant Foggy Bottom access to a Nigerian businessman who had contributed to the foundation.
Despite what Glenn writes here, The Clinton Foundation is corrupt to its core. The Clintons have tried to hold on to this, realizing the potential damage early on. The money was just too alluring to give it up.
Their new tactic, “We will restructure, after Hillary is elected!” wreaks of elitism. If Hillary’s not elected, we need to keep our illegal racket as a money source. If Hillary Clinton is elected, then success: the Clinton will have achieved all they need to extort the world.
5. It might just be a blip. The CNN poll – which put a jolt into Democrats because it was based on a more predictive likely-voter model – was taken during the last, sleepy week of summer, at a time when Clinton’s profile was intentionally low and Trump had the stage all to himself. And another big poll – a massive canvas of 74,000 voters in all 50 states by the Washington Post and Survey Monkey, shows Clinton making serious inroads into deep red states like Texas, Georgia and Arizona.
When I asked a senior Clinton adviser for a prediction last week, the official responded with a shrug: “For the past month people have been saying it’s a 7-point race [in favor of Clinton], but we’ve always been thinking of it as a four-to-five-point race.”
Or it might not just be a blip. Trump has gained on Clinton with every demographic. Let’s face it; he had no where to go but up mostly.
#NeverTrumpers have gone the way of the ghost, or joined Trump. The war on women didn’t work. Blacks despise Hillary Clinton more than Trump, and certainly see no salvation in supporting Hillary Clinton. Millennials were predominantly #BernieOrBust, and this normally Democrat-voting bloc is just as likely to support Trump. Latinos don’t vote monolithic, and Trump isn’t losing ground there. Certainly the trip to Mexico did a lot in that relationship.
I love the quote from the adviser. A 7-pt lie is now a 4 to 5 point lie. Trump is ahead by 2, and that’s with polls favorable to Hillary Clinton. You can bet the polls will only worsen for her, leaving Leftist having fits!
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